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Fantasy Football 2020: QB, RB, WR Sleepers to Know

Jun 10, 2020
Florida State running back Cam Akers runs a drill at the NFL football scouting combine in Indianapolis, Friday, Feb. 28, 2020. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
Florida State running back Cam Akers runs a drill at the NFL football scouting combine in Indianapolis, Friday, Feb. 28, 2020. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)

Any fantasy football manager knows the key to a championship roster is carefully selecting sleepers and next-man-up players among the favorites at each position.

All it takes is a couple of ill-timed injuries for the top of your roster to crumble, and when that happens, you'll need to know you have players on your bench ready to step in. 

Sometimes, your sleepers do more than step in. Think about some of the players who were regarded as sleepers in recent fantasy seasons who ended up unexpectedly producing eye-popping numbers: Denver running back Phillip Lindsay, Atlanta tight end Austin Hooper, Kansas City wideout Mecole Hardman. 

Within fantasy football, people can have different definitions of what constitutes a "sleeper." For our purposes, we'll count it as any player being drafted outside the top 20 for quarterbacks and top 30 for each of running backs and wide receivers, based on a 10-team league. 

Let's break down the top sleepers you should keep an eye on at each position as you draft your 2020 fantasy teams. The following projections are for PPR leagues. 

       

Top QB Sleepers

Drew Lock, Denver Broncos (ADP: 22.6)

Drew Lock didn't have a large sample size in 2019 with only five starts. In those appearances, however, he threw seven touchdowns to three interceptions, and he didn't have any picks in his last two outings.

In fact, despite the small sample size, there's a clear progression in the 23-year-old's play even from his first two games to his last two.

Even though his best performance was the Dec. 8 game against Houston—three touchdowns and a completion percentage of 81.5—his ball security had improved by the end of the season, and he was working on some sloppy footwork issues, even with less-flashy numbers.

With Pat Shurmur now at the offensive helm in 2020 and new weapons in rookie wideouts Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler and veteran running back Melvin Gordon, Lock should continue to improve and perhaps even become more than a bye-week fill-in in 2020. 

     

Tyrod Taylor, Los Angeles Chargers (ADP: 33.0)

If you're in a 10- or even 12-team league and looking at quarterbacks with an ADP of 33.0, something may have gone very wrong in your season.

Nevertheless, whether you're in a bye-week crunch or hit with unexpected injuries, Tyrod Taylor, not rookie Justin Herbert, is "in the driver's seat" to start for the Chargers in 2020, per Chargers general manager Tom Telesco. 

Taylor's production at his previous stops in Buffalo, Cleveland and Baltimore was inconsistent, but it showcased his ability to be a dual scoring threat as a passer and a rusher.

This season, with Philip Rivers out the door, the 30-year-old will quarterback an offense that includes a top-10 fantasy running back in Austin Ekeler and a top wideout in Keenan Allen.

Throw in Hunter Henry and Mike Williams, and there's a lot of groundwork in place for Taylor to have a better season in Los Angeles than he has elsewhere in his career. 

          

Top RB Sleepers

Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams (ADP: 30.0)

It's a brave new world for the Los Angeles Rams backfield after the release of Todd Gurley.

While the team still has Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson at the ready, it nevertheless addressed the position in Round 2, suggesting Cam Akers has some serious sleeper potential this season.

Even if the Rams' backfield remains a committee approach, Akers should easily be able to make his case for the lion's share of touches.

If you play in a dynasty league, the 20-year-old is a no-brainer, but even traditional-league managers may find that stashing him on their bench if (or when) he blows up is a savvy move.

The concern about relying on Akers for production is that the Rams didn't do much to shore up their offensive line, one of the league's worst in 2019. 

            

Ronald Jones II, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (ADP: 36.7)

If there's one thing we learned watching the Tom Brady–led New England Patriots, it was that any running back to whom he handed off the ball could become a star in any given game.

Now, credit for that almost assuredly goes to the New England scheme, and we'll find out for sure this season. But fantasy managers should keep an eye on who is getting the most touches out of the backfield in Tampa Bay.

The Bucs let Peyton Barber, who earned many of Ronald Jones II's would-be snaps, walk in free agency. They did draft Ke'Shawn Vaughn, but Jones, who has improved his pass-catching ability since his rookie season and dramatically upped his yards per carry from 1.9 to 4.2, should get a fair shake this year. 

     

Justin Jackson, Los Angeles Chargers (ADP: 55.0)

One of the deepest sleepers on this list, at a position that would make him the No. 5 running back on rosters in 10-team leagues, is the Chargers' Justin Jackson.

While teammate Austin Ekeler is extremely hot heading into the season with an ADP of 15.7, perhaps managers shouldn't be so quick to assume he'll be the clear No. 1 option for the Bolts.

According to Daniel Popper of The Athletic, the Chargers are "very high" on Jackson as part of a "one-two punch" with Ekeler.

While the report did indicate Los Angeles' brain trust views Ekeler "as a No. 1 starting back," it's good news for fantasy owners who perhaps want to handcuff the two or have a plug-and-play option ready to go on the bench. 

     

Top WR Sleepers

Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys (ADP: 28.3)

Michael Gallup is right on the edge of being considered a sleeper; in 12-team leagues, managers will have an eye toward starting him, while he might be the next man up in 10-team leagues.

However, the 24-year-old could prove to be a flex player week in and week out in 2020.

At first, things looked promising for Gallup in the lineup behind Amari Cooper when receiver Randall Cobb and tight end Jason Witten departed in free agency. 

Gallup had 66 receptions for 1,107 yards and six touchdowns last season and averaged 8.1 targets per game, so more potential opportunities to build on that production were enticing. However, Dallas drafting CeeDee Lamb in Round 1 of the 2020 NFL draft could complicate things for Gallup, who will need to make a splash early to make his case for more snaps. 

          

Allen Lazard, Green Bay Packers (ADP: 65.5)

Another deep sleeper on this list, Allen Lazard presents a quandary for fantasy managers who have been burned by drafting any Packers wideout not named Davante Adams in recent years.

But the reason many are high on the 24-year-old's potential this year is the fact that the Packers didn't draft a single wideout in the 2020 NFL draft, despite it being considered a position of high need.

That could mean the front office is confident in the weapons it has for Aaron Rodgers, a group that includes Adams, Lazard, free-agent signing Devin Funchess, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Equanimeous St. Brown.

Last season, Lazard caught 35 of 52 targets for 477 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 9.2 yards per target. If anyone on the Packers can break out besides Adams, he's the top candidate. 

        

Breshad Perriman, New York Jets (ADP: 63.5)

Another player those in 10-team leagues would be drafting in mid-to-late rounds, Breshad Perriman has a new team in 2020, and his success will largely depend on whether he can build chemistry with his new passer, Sam Darnold.

In 2019, on a one-year contract with the Buccaneers, the 26-year-old had a slow start to the year before catching fire late with five touchdowns on 20 receptions in his last four games. He surpassed 100 yards in each of his last three games.

With Robby Anderson having departed in free agency, Perriman has a ripe opportunity to earn the majority of looks from Darnold and have his best season to date. 

           

ADP information per FantasyPros. 

Alexander Mattison's Fantasy Outlook Amid Dalvin Cook's Reported Holdout

Jun 8, 2020
Minnesota Vikings running back Alexander Mattison (25) takes the handoff against the Washington Redskins during an NFL football game, Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019, in Minneapolis. (Jeff Haynes/AP Images for Panini)
Minnesota Vikings running back Alexander Mattison (25) takes the handoff against the Washington Redskins during an NFL football game, Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019, in Minneapolis. (Jeff Haynes/AP Images for Panini)

Dalvin Cook is prepared to hold out for as long as it takes to land a "reasonable" extension from the Minnesota Vikings, ESPN's Adam Schefter reported Monday:

Cook, who led Minnesota with 1,135 yards and 13 touchdowns on 250 rushing attempts in 2019, is entering the final year of his four-year, $6.4 million rookie contract. The 24-year-old was backed up by Alexander Mattison, who ran for 462 yards and one touchdown on 100 carries.

Should Cook's holdout bleed into the season, Mattison's fantasy value figures to skyrocket.

Mattison was selected in the third round of the 2019 draft. The 21-year-old's production was hindered by sharing the backfield with Cook, whose 250 carries ranked eighth among all rushers last season. However, Mattison was also utilized far less in the passing game than Cook.

Cook tallied 519 yards on 53 catches opposite Mattison's 82 yards on 10 receptions.

Mattison shined in one category, though:

Mattison was also right there with Cook on yards per attempt (4.6 to 4.5) as well as catch rate (83.3 percent to 84.1), though Cook was targeted 51 more times than Mattison.

According to ESPN fantasy expert Matthew Berry, Mattison will be "the most valuable pure handcuff" next season:

The Vikings were a run-first team in 2019 and project to be even more so in 2020 after trading No. 1 target Stefon Diggs to the Buffalo Bills, but Cook's status will make all the difference in whether to spend a high-round draft pick on Mattison.

Right now, sports-deprived fans are desperate for a fix. I legitimately found myself watching Headis recently. The NFL has done what it could. A few weeks ago, Commissioner Roger Goodell hosted the 2020 draft from his basement...

Denzel Mims' Fantasy Outlook After Jets Select WR in 2020 NFL Draft

Apr 24, 2020
MOBILE, AL - JANUARY 25: Wide Receiver Denzel Mims #15 from Baylor of the North Team during the 2020 Resse's Senior Bowl at Ladd-Peebles Stadium on January 25, 2020 in Mobile, Alabama. The Noth Team defeated the South Team 34 to 17. (Photo by Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)
MOBILE, AL - JANUARY 25: Wide Receiver Denzel Mims #15 from Baylor of the North Team during the 2020 Resse's Senior Bowl at Ladd-Peebles Stadium on January 25, 2020 in Mobile, Alabama. The Noth Team defeated the South Team 34 to 17. (Photo by Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)

If Denzel Mims' fantasy value rises as quickly as his NFL draft stock, he'll be an elite wide receiver by the end of the 2020 season.

The 22-year-old left Baylor after catching 186 passes for 2,925 yards and 28 touchdowns in four years.

To start 2019, he was mostly an afterthought when it came to the best wideouts in the upcoming draft class.

The Bears star failed to crack the top 32 overall players or top 15 receivers when Bleacher Report's Matt Miller published his October big board. But he rose to No. 43 overall and the No. 7 WR when Miller revisited his big board for the final time on April 13.

NFL.com's Lance Zierlein compared him to New Orleans Saints receiver Tre'Quan Smith:

"Mims is a long-striding outside target with excellent height, weight and speed and an insane catch-radius. He's a touchdown threat anytime he's near the red zone, with the focus and body control to finesse and finish catches above the rim. He struggles to release and separate from physical press corners, and he doesn't consistently compete and outwork opponents for positioning on contested catches."

Mims averaged 15.5 yards per reception at Baylor and ran a 4.38-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine. His big-play potential is obvious; he can be a home run threat whenever he has the ball in his hands.

From the perspective of his fantasy value in 2020, the question is whether he's good enough right away to warrant a spot in your starting lineup. 

His route tree might be somewhat limited as he adjusts to NFL defenses. Tyreek Hill, for example, needed a full year under his belt before his receiving numbers took a big jump.

That uncertainty goes hand in hand with the general fantasy volatility for first-year wideouts.

Those at the position typically start to find their footing in their second and third seasons, per Pro Football Focus' Scott Barrett

"Wide receivers are slower out of the gates than running backs but just about hit their career average in fantasy points by their sophomore seasons (96 percent). They hit their peak in Year 3 (118 percent) but come close to that again in Year 5 (117 percent) and Year 6 (113 percent)."

A.J. Brown cracked 1,000 receiving yards as a rookie in 2019, but plenty of fantasy owners were been burned by Mecole Hardman, Marquise Brown, N'Keal Harry and J.J. Arcega-Whiteside.

Mims is worth selecting in standard drafts. Ideally, you can stash him on the bench in order to gauge his production through the first four weeks.

The Jets signed Breshad Perriman, in part to replace the outgoing Robby Anderson, but the team's need for a true No. 1 wideout was clear for all to see.

The Jets ranked 31st in offensive efficiency, per Football Outsiders, despite signing Le'Veon Bell and Jamison Crowder and having Sam Darnold under center. Ryan Tannehill's immediate success after leaving Adam Gase's watch didn't inspire confidence, either.

In general, exercise caution when mapping out when you're prepared to take Mims in your draft.

Fantasy Football Expert Analysis for Joe Burrow, NFL Draft 2020 Day 1 Rookies

Apr 24, 2020
CORRECTS LOCATION TO THE PLAINS, OHIO, INSTEAD OF ATHENS, OHIO - In this still image from video provided by the NFL, LSU quarterback Joe Burrow appears in The Plains, Ohio, during the NFL football draft Thursday, April 23, 2020. (NFL via AP)
CORRECTS LOCATION TO THE PLAINS, OHIO, INSTEAD OF ATHENS, OHIO - In this still image from video provided by the NFL, LSU quarterback Joe Burrow appears in The Plains, Ohio, during the NFL football draft Thursday, April 23, 2020. (NFL via AP)

The first day of the NFL draft is in the books, and that means it's time to explore the potential fantasy impact of the skill-position players who were selected Thursday night.  

We start with Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow, the top overall player selected. Burrow hits the NFL with solid weapons in Tyler Boyd, A.J. Green and Joe Mixon, so if any rookie at the position has immediate upside, it is him. 

But tread carefully. Only one quarterback (Kyler Murray) finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in 2019, and that happened in large part because he rushed for 544 yards and four touchdowns. Burrow isn't going to put up those numbers on the ground.

Meanwhile, no rookie quarterbacks finished as top-10 fantasy producers in either 2018 or 2017. Perhaps Deshaun Watson or Lamar Jackson would have with full seasons as starters, but the point is that it's pretty rare for rookies at the position to be immediate fantasy stars. They face major learning curves at the NFL level.

That means Burrow should be drafted as your QB2. 

Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert are even riskier. Both could spend the season as backups with Ryan Fitzpatrick in Miami and Tyrod Taylor in Los Angeles. Herbert, in particular, is likely to be groomed for a year. Tagovailoa could start, but at the moment his best offensive weapon is...DeVante Parker. That's not great.

Outside of dynasty leagues, Tagovailoa and Herbert should be low-priority additions. Tagovailoa is a QB2, while Herbert likely won't start and doesn't need to be drafted.

Only one running back was selected in the first round, but he has the biggest fantasy upside of any player drafted. LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire was selected by the Kansas City Chiefs, and it's hard to imagine a better fit. 

Head coach Andy Reid got a pass-catching dynamo in the mold of Brian Westbrook who is also an excellent between-the-tackles runner. Damien Williams has played well for the Chiefs, but Edwards-Helaire has far more upside. If he surpasses Williams as the team's starting running back, he has legitimate RB1 upside. 

Let's turn to receiver, where the top candidates to have a major fantasy impact may surprise you.

Henry Ruggs III was the first player at the position off the board, joining the Las Vegas Raiders, and he actually has major potential with a veteran quarterback in Derek Carr and a relatively mediocre receiver group fighting him for targets. 

Ruggs has big-play threat written all over him and could be a bit inconsistent. But if he develops immediate chemistry with Carr, he has real flex upside. 

The next two wideouts off the board, Jerry Jeudy and CeeDee Lamb, are actually less promising. It's not that they lack talent; it's that they landed in suboptimal fantasy situations.

Jeudy has an unproven quarterback (Drew Lock) in Denver and another talented receiver (Courtland Sutton) to battle for targets. Lamb has a very proven quarterback (Dak Prescott) but may be third on the pecking order for targets behind Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup in an offense that ran the ball 28.1 times per game last year, eighth-most in the NFL.

Jeudy and Lamb are talents. They will be good players. But they are rookie receivers on teams that won't maximize their output immediately. Consider them in the WR4-5 range. 

However, one intriguing wideout to watch is Philadelphia Eagles selection Jalen Reagor.

The Eagles were a mess at the position last year, and veterans like DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery are unreliable at this point given their injury concerns.

Reagor offers a field-stretching threat for Carson Wentz, and he can also make plays after the catch. The Eagles could utilize him as a jack-of-all-trades, drawing up plays to get him in space or even give him some snaps at running back. Head coach Doug Pederson should get creative with him. If he does, the system and opportunities will give him as much upside as any wideout taken in Round 1. He has flex upside. 

Justin Jefferson is a more imperfect fit with the Minnesota Vikings from a fantasy perspective. He was a receptions machine for LSU, but Adam Thielen is already a receptions machine for the incoming rookie's new team. Stefon Diggs complimented him well because of his field-stretching abilities, but Jefferson is more of a technician.

The Vikings also ran the ball 29.8 times per game last year, fourth-most in the league.

It isn't a seamless fit, and while he should see a solid amount of targets, he seems likely to fall in the WR4-5 conversation. 

Finally at wide receiver, there's Brandon Aiyuk, who was selected by the San Francisco 49ers. Again, this is a good fit with mediocre fantasy upside. San Francisco ran the ball 31.1 times per game last year, second in the NFL, and George Kittle and Deebo Samuel will be getting more targets. 

Aiyuk has an opportunity to carve out a role in San Francisco, but it's likely it will only be enough to be in the WR4-5 role. 

Jalen Reagor's Fantasy Outlook After Eagles Select WR in 2020 NFL Draft

Apr 23, 2020
TCU wide receiver Jalen Reagor runs after a catch against Purdue during the first half of an NCAA college football game in West Lafayette, Ind., Saturday, Sept. 14, 2019. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
TCU wide receiver Jalen Reagor runs after a catch against Purdue during the first half of an NCAA college football game in West Lafayette, Ind., Saturday, Sept. 14, 2019. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)

The Philadelphia Eagles pulled one of the biggest surprises in the first round of the 2020 NFL draft by selecting Jalen Reagor, but the receiver could still have a significant impact as a fantasy player next season.

Based on outside projections, this selection at No. 21 overall was a significant reach.  

Bleacher Report's Matt Miller listed Reagor as the 49th-best player in the class and the No. 10 receiver even though he was the fourth player eventually taken at his position.

It's also hard to get excited about his numbers this past season since he had just 43 catches for 611 yards and five touchdowns. Justin Jefferson, who went one pick later to the Minnesota Vikings, had 111 catches for 1,540 yards and 18 scores.

Still, college production doesn't mean everything, especially considering Reagor was in one of the worst passing offenses in FBS last year.

The 5'11" wideout also has good speed, running a 40-yard dash in 4.47 seconds at the NFL combine. He showcased impressive athleticism with a 42" vertical jump and an 11'6" broad jump, both second-best at the position.

That gives him a lot of upside for when he sees more reliable quarterback play, which he should get with Carson Wentz.

There will also be no shortage of opportunity going forward on a team that had zero receivers with 500 receiving yards in 2019. Nelson Agholor also departed in free agency, leaving a lot of open snaps.

Reagor will have to compete for time with Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson, while tight ends Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert will also have big roles in the passing attack, but the rookie should see a lot of targets in 2020. He could be a sleeper in fantasy drafts and a WR3 by the end of the season.

Brandon Aiyuk's Fantasy Outlook After 49ers Select WR in 2020 NFL Draft

Apr 23, 2020
Arizona State wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk runs for a first down against Colorado during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 21, 2019, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
Arizona State wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk runs for a first down against Colorado during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 21, 2019, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

There are under-the-radar fantasy football gems in the NFL draft every year, and the 2020 edition will be no different.

One of those potential gems is former Arizona State wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk.

The San Francisco 49ers selected him with the No. 25 pick Thursday. If the numbers he put up in his final season with the Sun Devils were any indication, he should be a valuable fantasy player.

He arrived at Arizona State in 2018 as a 3-star JUCO transfer from Sierra College, per 247Sports' composite rankings, but didn't make a head-turning statistical impact during his first year in the Pac-12.

With N'Keal Harry the No. 1 option in the aerial attack, Aiyuk tallied 474 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

He made a significant jump in 2019 with Harry in the NFL, though, and finished with 65 catches for 1,192 yards and eight touchdowns. If he wasn't in the national spotlight before, he was after he torched the Oregon Ducks for 161 receiving yards and a score in a November upset that shook up the College Football Playoff race.

Despite the impressive showing, Bleacher Report's Matt Miller projected him as a third-round pick in an April mock draft.

Whether Aiyuk will be worth a middle-round pick for fantasy football players depends on how quickly he can move up the depth chart.

After all, he put up modest numbers as a secondary option alongside Harry but finished with stats that would make any fantasy football player thrilled when he was the go-to option in the aerial attack last year.

He won't reprise that role right away in an offense that already features Deebo Samuel, but he also should face single coverage throughout much of his rookie campaign.

That makes him worth a late-round flier for fantasy football players in single-season leagues and someone who should garner early consideration in dynasty leagues. He proved he can surpass 1,000 receiving yards in college and has the skill set to develop into a weapon in the coming seasons.

The 49ers need to replace Emmanuel Sanders in the passing game, and Aiyuk should see enough targets even in his rookie season to challenge for fantasy starts in the flex role.

Henry Ruggs III's Fantasy Outlook After Raiders Select WR in 2020 NFL Draft

Apr 23, 2020
Alabama wide receiver Henry Ruggs III (11) carries the ball after a reception against Auburn during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 30, 2019, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
Alabama wide receiver Henry Ruggs III (11) carries the ball after a reception against Auburn during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 30, 2019, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)

Rookies can often make the difference between fantasy playoff runs and fantasy irrelevance, as anyone who drafted Kyler Murray, Josh Jacobs or A.J. Brown last year can attest. 

Alabama's Henry Ruggs III could be one of those rookie difference-makers in 2020.

The Las Vegas Raiders selected the 21-year-old with the No. 12 overall pick of the 2020 NFL draft on Thursday, giving them a potential game-breaking presence with the speed to blow past almost any defensive back.

Fantasy players looking for a mid-round addition would surely be pleased if Ruggs replicates his production from his final two years with the Crimson Tide.

He notched 46 catches for 741 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2018 and followed with 40 catches for 746 yards and seven touchdowns in 2019. He also ran for a touchdown last season and averaged an impressive 17.5 yards per reception throughout his collegiate career.

Bleacher Report's Matt Miller projected Ruggs as the No. 12 overall pick in a mock draft on April 1, suggesting the Alabama product is better than speedster Tyreek Hill was when he entered the league in 2016.

"Ruggs gets classified as a speed receiver—and he is with that 4.27 40-yard-dash time—but he's also a polished route-runner and an all-around threat," Miller wrote. "Get him the football, and beautiful things happen."

Beautiful things could happen for fantasy players who take a chance on the first-year playmaker, and there shouldn't be much concern about his ability to find catches and yards even surrounded by other NFL receivers.

Alabama's receiving corps was loaded last season with Jerry Jeudy, DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle alongside Ruggs, but the latter still managed to find the end zone eight times and dust plenty of defenders in the open field.

Look for him to do that a handful of times during his first season in the NFL, which will make him worth a mid-round pick in fantasy drafts.

Ruggs figures to face single coverage throughout the year playing alongside Tyrell Williams and a rushing attack with Josh Jacobs that forces opposing defenses into the box, and he should take advantage of that situation on his way to becoming one of the best fantasy rookie options in the league.

Rookie wideouts can be hit-or-miss, but with his explosive speed and a veteran quarterback in Derek Carr, Ruggs could be poised for a very nice rookie campaign. Consider him a WR4 with very big upside in his rookie season.