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Cellar-Dwelling MLB Team Could Bring Chaos to Bryce Harper, Manny Machado Chases

Jan 29, 2019
BALTIMORE, MD - JULY 10:  Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals and Manny Machado #13 of the Baltimore Orioles talk during their game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 10, 2015 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
BALTIMORE, MD - JULY 10: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals and Manny Machado #13 of the Baltimore Orioles talk during their game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 10, 2015 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Bryce Harper and Manny Machado are generational talents in the midst of their primes. They're also unemployed as of this writing.

Eventually, both free agents will sign. Will it be with a clear-cut contender on the verge of a title?

Maybe. Then again, maybe not.

The San Diego Padres, no one's idea of an MLB juggernaut, could upend the offseason in a major way by inking one or both of the winter's most coveted targets. 

That's not idle speculation. According to Jon Heyman of MLB Network, the Padres have "checked in" on both Machado and Harper. Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic echoed Heyman's reporting and said that while the Pads "are more likely to spend big next offseason than they are this one, they are not ruling out a run at Machado or Harper at the right price."

That last bit is important. Machado and Harper entered the winter with visions of $300-plus million contracts dancing in their heads. Now, with spring training fast approaching, they might have to settle for less. Getting nine figures feels like a foregone conclusion, but the realities of today's tepid MLB market may bump each of them getting below $200 million. 

If so, the Friars could emerge as chaos-inducing, out-of-left-field suitors. 

The Machado-Harper rumors have mostly centered on perennial big spenders (the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees) and up-and-coming clubs with payroll to burn (the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies). The Washington Nationals and Chicago Cubs also seem like plausible landing spots for Harper. 

You could toss in every other contender, at least in theory. But the Padres? Come on.

We're talking about a franchise that hasn't enjoyed a winning season since 2010 and hasn't qualified for the postseason since 2006. In no way do the Padres sound like players for the winter's glitziest stars. 

But in a world where a pair of superstars entering their age-26 seasons are languishing unsigned in late January, anything is possible.

Consider: Last offseason, the Padres signed first baseman Eric Hosmer to an eight-year, $144 million contract. It didn't work out especially well, as Hosmer underperformed on offense and defense and posted minus-0.1 WAR, according to FanGraphs' calculation. 

San Diego might be hesitant to make more big-money investments. On the other hand, it plays in a relatively soft division and could be ready for a dramatic move.

The Dodgers are the toast of the National League West on the heels of two consecutive National League pennants, but they haven't made any seismic signings this winter after extending ace Clayton Kershaw. 

The Colorado Rockies are looking to build on two straight wild-card berths but haven't noticeably bolstered their roster.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants are stuck between rebuilding and retooling and don't figure to be especially dangerous. 

That leaves an opening for the Padres to blossom ahead of schedule behind a farm system Bleacher Report's Joel Reuter ranked No. 1 in baseball. Take burgeoning studs such as infielder Fernando Tatis Jr. and left-hander MacKenzie Gore, add an established star, and stir. 

LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 26:  Manny Machado #8 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts after flying out during the tenth inning against the Boston Red Sox in Game Three of the 2018 World Series at Dodger Stadium on October 26, 2018 in Los Angeles, California.
LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 26: Manny Machado #8 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts after flying out during the tenth inning against the Boston Red Sox in Game Three of the 2018 World Series at Dodger Stadium on October 26, 2018 in Los Angeles, California.

Inking Harper or Machado wouldn't make the Padres champions overnight. Guys like Tatis and Gore are likely a year or more away. San Diego needs to allow its young players to mature before they can contribute.

But in this slow-developing free-agent market, the Friars could swoop in and change the game—quite literally. 

As recently as 2015, Padres general manager A.J. Preller added expensive players such as Craig Kimbrel and Matt Kemp in the hopes of contending. Once that blueprint fizzled, San Diego went lean at the big league level while adding MiLB chips.

Is this the moment to go all-in?

It might be, after the Padres refinanced their debt and opened up the option of looser purse strings, as Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune reported. 

The Padres are an under-the-radar outfit. They don't boast a long history of winning (two pennants and zero titles) nor do they play in a big-time market. 

That said, the weather in San Diego is amazing, and any player who signed there could put the franchise on the map.

Imagine, for example, helping the Yankees win championship No. 28 versus helping the Padres win championship No. 1. There's glory in both, but hoisting the first Commissioner's Trophy in Padres history would arguably be more notable. 

WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 19: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals talks with Manny Machado #13 of the Baltimore Orioles after hitting a RBI double in the fifth inning at Nationals Park on June 19, 2018 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/G
WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 19: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals talks with Manny Machado #13 of the Baltimore Orioles after hitting a RBI double in the fifth inning at Nationals Park on June 19, 2018 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/G

Harper seems destined for a massive market with his brash personality and "make baseball fun again" antics. Machado, likewise, ought to play for a club with title aspirations. 

Harper has compiled 30.7 WAR next to Machado's 30.2 as a big leaguer, per FanGraphs. Even if you don't adore wins above replacement as a stat, that's undeniably good.

The Padres aren't the favorites to sign either or both stars, but San Diego's credible entrance into the Harper-Machado sweepstakes injects an alluring who-can-say curveball. 

Will the Pads ink one or both of the best available free agents? 

Maybe not. But...maybe?

    

All statistics courtesy of FanGraphs and Baseball Reference

Manny Machado Rumors: Padres Want to Meet with Star Before Getting More Involved

Jan 26, 2019
FILE - In this Oct. 26, 2018, file photo, Los Angeles Dodgers' Manny Machado watches his single against the Boston Red Sox during the sixth inning in Game 3 of the baseball World Series in Los Angeles. Andrew Friedman knew he was getting a player who didn't hustle all the time when he traded for Machado. Still, the Dodgers' president of baseball operations was willing to acquire the four-time All-Star infielder because his good points outweighed the bad. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill, File)
FILE - In this Oct. 26, 2018, file photo, Los Angeles Dodgers' Manny Machado watches his single against the Boston Red Sox during the sixth inning in Game 3 of the baseball World Series in Los Angeles. Andrew Friedman knew he was getting a player who didn't hustle all the time when he traded for Machado. Still, the Dodgers' president of baseball operations was willing to acquire the four-time All-Star infielder because his good points outweighed the bad. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill, File)

Superstar free-agent infielder Manny Machado remains unsigned with pitchers and catchers reporting in a few weeks.

The San Diego Padres could potentially be in the mix, however, per a Saturday report from Dennis Lin of The Athletic.

Sources spoke with Lin who then tweeted that "the Padres have expressed interest in arranging a meeting with [Machado], possibly in Miami. SD would like to get some face time before becoming more involved with the free agent."

The 26-year-old had 37 home runs and 107 RBI for the Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Dodgers last season.

The hot-stove campaign has been unusually frigid this year, with numerous All-Stars unsigned as spring training rapidly approaches.

The interest level for Machado's services seems high at least, with the New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies all hosting him on visits, according to Mike Rosenstein of NJ.com.

Although those three ballclubs looked like the front-runners for Machado's services, Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune wrote on Friday that the Padres were "pursuing the 26-year-old superstar with the intention of playing him at third base."

Fancred's Jon Heyman previously tweeted that the Padres were checking in on some other big names such as free-agent outfielder Bryce Harper, so San Diego could be going for it all here, especially with a stacked farm system waiting in the wings.

The Padres open the 2019 season on Thursday, March 28, against the San Francisco Giants at home.

MLB Rumors: Padres Have 'Checked In' on Manny Machado, Bryce Harper and More

Jan 23, 2019
WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 19: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals talks with Manny Machado #13 of the Baltimore Orioles after hitting a RBI double in the fifth inning at Nationals Park on June 19, 2018 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 19: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals talks with Manny Machado #13 of the Baltimore Orioles after hitting a RBI double in the fifth inning at Nationals Park on June 19, 2018 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)

If you're looking for a sleeper in the Bryce Harper-Manny Machado sweepstakes, it could be the San Diego Padres

Jon Heyman of FanCred reported the Padres have "checked in" with Harper, Machado, Mike Moustakas and Marwin Gonzalez. Perhaps the four best position players on the open market all remain unsigned in what's been a jarringly slow winter in baseball.

The Padres went 66-96 last season and do not view themselves as contenders for 2019. Heyman's report said the club's current plan is to return to contention in 2020, but the potential of landing a big name could accelerate that timeframe.

It's unclear at this point why these big names have gone unsigned. Harper and Machado came into the offseason each expected to surpass the biggest contract in the sport's history. The methodical approach seems to be more a product of teams waiting things out than any lack of urgency from Harper or Machado, as it's unclear if there are even any firm contract offers on the table.

Harper previously turned down a 10-year, $300 million offer from the Washington Nationals, and logic would dictate he expects to eclipse that number with his next contract. Giancarlo Stanton's 13-year, $325 million deal is currently the largest in MLB history.

The Padres are not a regular player at the top tiers of free agency, and any $300 million contract in that market seems like a recipe for disaster. The Marlins had instant buyer's remorse on the contract they gave to Stanton before shipping him to the Yankees.

San Diego's payroll currently sits 25th in baseball. The club regularly ranks among the lowest payrolls in the sport and has not been out of the bottom 10 since before 2011, per Spotrac's database.

Odds are this is much ado about nothing. Moustakas or Gonzalez, however, are possibilities on a much smaller scale.