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Jalen Hurts Favored over Mahomes in NFL MVP Odds, Peter King's Rankings After Week 15

Dec 19, 2022
CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 18: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) runs with the football to score a touchdown in action during a game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Chicago Bears on December 18, 2022, at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. (Photo by Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 18: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) runs with the football to score a touchdown in action during a game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Chicago Bears on December 18, 2022, at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. (Photo by Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

The battle for NFL MVP is increasingly a two-player race.

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts remains the odds-on favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook, coming in at -150 ($150 bet wins $100). Patrick Mahomes is in second place at +165, and no other player sits better than +1000.

NFL MVP Odds

  1. Jalen Hurts (-150)
  2. Patrick Mahomes (+165)
  3. Josh Allen (+1000)
  4. Joe Burrow (+1000)

The quarterbacks are the only players with odds lower than 100-1, so we can be reasonably certain one of these four stars will walk away with the trophy.

Hurts, Allen and Burrow would all be first-time MVP winners. Hurts has the Eagles at 13-1 as he's emerged as one of the most dynamic dual threats in football. He's thrown for 3,472 yards and 22 touchdowns against five interceptions while adding 747 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground.

While Sunday's 25-20 win over the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field was by far not his best performance of the season, he came through with three rushing scores to keep Philly undefeated on the road.

Mahomes leads the NFL in passing yards (4,496), touchdowns (35) and QBR (79.8) to spearhead the Kansas City Chiefs' 11-3 record. He threw for 336 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 30-24 overtime win over the Houston Texans in a near-flawless effort to clinch the AFC West for Kansas City.

Peter King of NBC Sports still gave Hurts the nod on his ballot but noted he would also be fine with Mahomes or Allen winning the award. Allen threw for 304 yards and four touchdowns while adding 77 yards on the ground to earn a 32-29 victory over the Miami Dolphins on Saturday in a Game of the Year candidate.


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Raiders' Chandler Jones Explains Game-Winning TD vs. Patriots, Stiff-Arm on Mac Jones

Dec 19, 2022
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - DECEMBER 18: Chandler Jones #55 of the Las Vegas Raiders reacts during the third quarter against the New England Patriots at Allegiant Stadium on December 18, 2022 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Getty Images)
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - DECEMBER 18: Chandler Jones #55 of the Las Vegas Raiders reacts during the third quarter against the New England Patriots at Allegiant Stadium on December 18, 2022 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Getty Images)

As Jakobi Meyers wound up to whip a 10-yard backward pass to Mac Jones, he was hoping to make New England Patriots history.

He did just that—but not in the way he was hoping.

The all-time gaffe wound up in the hands of Las Vegas Raiders defensive end (and former Patriots defensive end) Chandler Jones, who threw a vicious stiff-arm to the face of Mac Jones and scampered all the way to the end zone for one of the most improbable walk-off wins in NFL history.

Speaking to Peter King of NBC Sports, Chandler Jones described what was going through his mind as the play unfolded:

"It was a desperado situation, and that was a team that would try to do anything to advance the ball for a touchdown. They'll throw the ball, pitch it, lateral it. I knew that was a possibility to happen. I thought they would do a hook-and-lateral, or something like that. They had a random run.

"I actually missed a tackle on [Rhamondre Stevenson]. I went to go punch the ball out on that play and I missed. The guy kept running. By the time I stood up, I realized that the ball was being pitched around.

"They were playing hot potato now. Instead of pursuing the ball, I just started playing back into saying, 'All right, who's the next passer? Who could they possibly throw it to next that's behind the line of scrimmage?' Because they're playing this whole hot potato game. Sure enough, I saw Jakobi Meyers kinda look back at Mac Jones, the quarterback. He was standing in the middle of the field. I literally just jumped up when I saw the ball coming, intended for Mac. Mac was kind of standing there, looking at me with big eyes.

"I literally just jumped up and intercepted it. I just gave Mac a nice stiff-arm with my right hand. The rest was history."

"I don't think I've thrown a stiff-arm in practice," Jones told Albert Breer of Sports Illustrated. "When I caught the ball, he was there, I was thinking, You know what, I could try to put a juke move on. I could try to outrun him. I don't know, maybe I could outrun Mac Jones. But whenever defensive players are running for touchdowns, they always get made fun of for getting caught by the quarterback. So I thought, I'm not gonna try to outrun him. I'm just trying to run over him. If I fall and trip, I'll pitch it. Because there were guys behind me."

There was no logical excuse for what transpired. The game was tied 24-24 and seemingly headed for overtime.

The odds of Meyers completing a 10-yard lateral were already low in any situation. Throwing the pass to Mac Jones, who is certainly not the fleetest of foot, lowered the odds of success by an exponential degree. There was no world in which Jones was going to scamper 50 yards for a touchdown, so the options were going to be limited even if Meyers did complete the attempt at a miracle.

Instead, the result was perhaps Chandler Jones' greatest individual play of his career and arguably the most embarrassing moment of Bill Belichick's coaching career.

NFL Rumors: Colts' Jonathan Taylor Likely out for Rest of Season with Ankle Injury

Dec 19, 2022
MINNEAPOLIS, MN - DECEMBER 17: Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor (28) looks on before the NFL game between the Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings on December 17th, 2022, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN. (Photo by Bailey Hillesheim/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MN - DECEMBER 17: Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor (28) looks on before the NFL game between the Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings on December 17th, 2022, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN. (Photo by Bailey Hillesheim/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor is reportedly "highly unlikely" to play again this season after suffering a high ankle sprain in Saturday's loss to the Minnesota Vikings.

Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reported no formal determination has been made, but "all eyes are expected to be on a healthy 2023."

Taylor missed time earlier this season in Weeks 5 and 6 with an ankle injury. He returned for Weeks 7 and 8 but then missed Week 9 after reaggravating the injury in an Oct. 30 loss to the Washington Commanders.

In a Week 15 loss to the Minnesota Vikings, Taylor suffered another ankle injury and was ruled out for the remainder of the contest.

Losing the 23-year-old for any period of time certainly isn't ideal for the Colts. He has rushed for 861 yards and four scores in 11 games this season.

However, Indy's offense hasn't played well even with Taylor in the lineup. Quarterback Matt Ryan has been at the root of the team's problems, though the offensive line hasn't been any better.

When Taylor misses time, the Colts turn to Deon Jackson and Zack Moss at running back. Jackson has rushed for 191 yards and one score in 13 games, while Moss, who was acquired from the Buffalo Bills at the trade deadline, has rushed for 112 yards in five games with the Colts.

Indianapolis is third in the AFC South with a 4-9-1 record.

New York Giants Have Far More to Play for Than Postseason over Final Three Games

Dec 19, 2022
LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 18: New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) hands the ball to running back Saquon Barkley (26) during the New York Giants game versus the Washington Commanders on December 18, 2022, at FedEx Field in Landover, MD. (Photo by Lee Coleman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 18: New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) hands the ball to running back Saquon Barkley (26) during the New York Giants game versus the Washington Commanders on December 18, 2022, at FedEx Field in Landover, MD. (Photo by Lee Coleman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

A collective sigh emanated from the New York Giants organization and its fanbase after escaping Sunday Night Football with a dubious 20-12 victory over the rival Washington Commanders.

Aside from Washington committing a massive mental error with an illegal formation on what could have been the game-tying touchdown run with 1:03 left to play and an obvious defensive pass interference call missed in the end zone, New York can't be upset with the outcome itself.

However, the short-term relief doesn't provide long-term clarity. The opposite seems to be the case since the 8-5-1 Giants appear to be well on their way to a postseason appearance as the NFC's current sixth seed. Yet the team played poorly throughout the contest, particularly on offense, where major offseason decisions loom.

What becomes of quarterback Daniel Jones and running back Saquon Barkley could ultimately be decided over the next three (or more) contests.

Giving credit where it's due, first-year head coach Brian Daboll has his team performing well above expectations. Big Blue posted one winning campaign over the last 10 seasons. That effort occurred seven years ago.

With one win during their final three contests, Daboll and Co. will be on the right side of the ledger, and the Giants' new leader will be in the conversation for NFL Coach of the Year.

Support for Daboll's candidacy primarily involves getting as much as he possibly can from a clearly limited offense. Against Washington, New York's offense—which ranks among the bottom half of the league in both total offense and scoring—managed 288 yards and only one touchdown.

Both Jones and Barkley are previous top-10 selections in contract years. New York's front office already chose not to pick up its quarterback's fifth-year rookie option.

Despite the relatively sluggish start to Jones' career and Barkley's extensive injury history, the idea of keeping them both for at least one more season seemed prudent. However, the path next year seems murkier today than it did during the first half of the season.

New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll
New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll

Initially, Jones' play seemed primed for the franchise tag. The 2019 sixth-overall selection performed more efficiently and cut down on turnovers, and Daboll allowed him to be a bigger part of the ground game. It worked...for a time.

During New York's current 1-3-1 streak, Jones' effectiveness has diminished. Despite Sunday's victory, Washington's aggressive front forced the Giants' quarterback to get the ball out quickly to avoid getting pressured into mistakes. To be fair, New York did enough on offense to ultimately win. Yet 195 total yards from the game's most important position isn't going to be good enough in many cases.

Jones is a middling quarterback. Coming into New York's latest outing, the fourth-year signal-caller ranked 16th in quarterback rating (91.6), 14th in QBR (55.6), 23rd in average yards per attempt (6.8) and tied for 23rd with 12 passing touchdowns. None of those numbers improved with his latest effort.

The organization must start asking itself whether Jones is their guy for at least one more year or if he's holding back the entire offense. So much can be schemed to help him, and Daboll's staff is doing an excellent job in doing so. But the Giants expected a quarterback who could eventually develop into someone to carry the offense.

Jones isn't, nor has he been at any point in his career to date. A strong finish to this season during a postseason push could go a long way toward helping with the team's decision.

"My mindset's been the same the whole way. I don't think it doesn't change now just because we're later in the season," Jones told reporters last week. "I'm going to focus on playing as well as I can and when the season is over. I'll look back and have a more complete thought about that. I'm just trying to play as well as I can."

New York Giants wide receiver Richie James makes a catch against the Washington Commanders.
New York Giants wide receiver Richie James makes a catch against the Washington Commanders.

Certainly, better wide receiver play could be beneficial. The Giants are basically devoid of talent outside the numbers. Richie James and Isaiah Hodgins led the way Sunday with a combined eight catches for 79 yards. Even so, it's another excuse to serve as a crutch for a player who hasn't definitively staked his claim as the guy to lead the franchise.

The Giants should consider drafting a raw but gifted quarterback option like Kentucky's Will Levis or Florida's Anthony Richardson in next year's first round to develop like Daboll once did with Josh Allen in Buffalo. Barkley can remain the workhorse in 2023 while the franchise adds more at wide receiver as well.

Right now, the offense belongs to Barkley as its focal point. However, even he's had his struggles. The NFL's fourth-leading rusher hasn't been as effective as of late. Prior to Sunday's 87-yard outburst, Barkley posted rushing totals of 28, 63, 39 and 22 during the previous four contests.

Opposing defenses bottled him up, though he helped salt away New York's latest victory with runs of 12, 15, and 14 to start the Giants' final scoring drive that extended the lead to eight points.

Those moments show exactly where the coaching staff believes the ball should be when the game is on the line. In fact, Barkley ran the ball six times compared to one pass for Jones during the critical drive.

New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley runs through the Washington Commanders defense for a touchdown.
New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley runs through the Washington Commanders defense for a touchdown.

But the fact the fifth-year back hasn't been as effective as of late should create some pause when automatically handing out a contract extension. If anything, the franchise tag may be a far more prudent avenue. For comparison, the franchise tag on a running back is $20.1 million cheaper than placing the designation on a quarterback.

When approached about the subject earlier this season, Barkley and the team didn't seem to be close on a specific number.

"We got into a little bit of conversation," Barkley said in November before the two sides tabled talks. "At the end of the day, I put that in the past. That was the bye week. Obviously, we weren't able to come to an agreement during the bye week, and my mindset is just focus on the rest of the season. Next week going against Detroit and knowing when that opportunity comes up again, focus on it then."

Coincidentally, the back's downturn in production began a week after those comments.

Two years from now, the offense can be built fully in Daboll's image potentially without Jones or Barkley on the roster.

Daboll and new general manager Joe Schoen have done the best possible job they could do with the roster they inherited. They should find out over the next few weeks whether the current construction is capable of becoming a consistent competitor or worthy of deconstruction. The most likely path forward is one of a slight teardown and a quick rebuild after paying for the sins of general managers past.


Brent Sobleski covers the NFL for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter, @brentsobleski.